The more I think about it, the more I see huge similarities between Richard Nixon in 1968 and Hillary Clinton in 2008. Both are figures that have a likeability problem and both would benefit from the unpopularity of the opposition party. Lyndon Johnson was very unpopular in 1968 and George W. Bush is very unpopular now because of unpopular wars. Despite these favorable conditions, Richard Nixon was only able to pull out a close 43%-42% victory in the fall over Johnson's VP, Hubert Humpherey. At the same time Republicans made almost no gains in Congress.
I think if nominated, Hillary Clinton would follow a very similar path. If nominated, she would maybe eke out a 50%-49% win over McCain and provide no gains for Democrats downballot. After Nixon was elected, he throw his party under the bus to pursue a pretty liberal agenda for a Republican. He created many federal agencies like the FDA and agreed to impose wage and price controls. He also greatly increased welfare assistance and agreed to raise taxes on upper income Americans. I think Hillary Clinton would follow the exact same path here. She, like Nixon, would use a strategy of appeasement to keep the oppositon happy. I would not be surprised to see her signing strict immigration enforcement laws as well as a partial birth abortion ban in order to appease Republicans.
The question is, do Democrats really want this? Richard Nixon did nothing for the Conservative movement and did an awful lot to set it back with scandals like Watergate. Because of this, Republicans were reduced to a mere 144 seats in the House and 38 in the Senate after the 1974 midterms. I fear Clinton would do the same thing to us. I really do not feel like winning an election with somebody who is not ideologically committed to the progressive movement in the same way that Richard Nixon was not committed to the Conservative movement.
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